The Future of Finance: Tracking Global Progress Towards Net Zero (2025)

The journey towards a net-zero future is a critical one, and the role of private financial institutions (FIs) cannot be overstated. While we've made progress, recent developments have highlighted some challenges. With major FIs withdrawing from climate coalitions and alliances disbanding, it's clear that we need to address these issues head-on. But here's where it gets controversial: despite political backlash and regulatory uncertainties, many institutions still recognize the importance of decarbonization for sustainable growth and risk mitigation.

The global decarbonization path is already underway, and those FIs that adapt and stay the course will thrive during this transition. Banks, asset managers, and insurers all have a part to play in responding to shifting market preferences and regulations, as well as managing the disruption caused by physical climate impacts. Pension funds and other asset owners face increasing pressure to consider climate and nature risks in their decision-making.

However, there are barriers to overcome. Inconsistent regulations, data gaps, and misaligned incentives are just some of the challenges FIs face. In emerging markets and developing economies, the situation is even more complex, with political instability and limited awareness of climate finance opportunities hindering progress. But this is where the importance of independent tools comes into play.

The Net Zero Finance Tracker (NZFT) developed by CPI provides an independent assessment of over 1,500 private FIs from 67 countries, tracking their progress on climate targets, implementation, and impact. This comprehensive dataset empowers stakeholders to hold institutions accountable, strengthen net-zero strategies, and accelerate climate-aligned investment.

Key findings from the report highlight the fragility of voluntary target-setting, with recent withdrawals from net-zero alliances a cause for concern. While most jurisdictions have adopted national climate targets, translating these into mandates for the financial sector remains a challenge. The quality and consistency of progress across regions must be improved, and the dominance of fossil-fuel financing must be addressed to rapidly move portfolios towards net-zero alignment.

When it comes to implementation, FIs have made significant strides, but best practices are still rare. Disclosure of climate risk and internal accountability have seen the most progress, but there's room for improvement in policy engagement and net-zero action without relying on carbon offsets. Shareholder engagement has broadened, but the decline in FIs supporting climate resolutions is a cause for concern.

The impact of FIs' actions in the real economy is crucial. Physical climate and nature risks pose a threat to financial stability, with projected portfolio losses escalating under warming scenarios, especially in vulnerable sectors and regions. Despite this, financed emissions have decreased only slightly since 2019, and the majority of energy capital stocks remain in fossil fuel holdings.

Direct finance to clean and transition energy projects has been growing, with banks and asset managers playing critical roles. However, new fossil fuel projects are still being funded, which contradicts the International Energy Agency's (IEA) warning about the incompatibility of new fossil energy investment with net zero.

The way forward is clear: we need to explore multiple perspectives and trends to understand the progress and challenges FIs face. The NZFT dataset offers a unique insight into this complex landscape, and further insights can be gained by accessing the full report. It's time to take action and ensure a sustainable future for all.

The Future of Finance: Tracking Global Progress Towards Net Zero (2025)
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